CV Mach 2

[JohnNichols]

[JohnNichols]

mecej4 (Blackbelt) wrote:

Lots of interactive plots of ECDC data, links and discussions: https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus .

Yes, certainly a well studied event.  The need for a three day rolling average is common in human data -- but it usually indicates an underlying complex sine series in the results -- my main interest is the sine series.  

I want to say thank you to all of you for helping with this work.  I really appreciate the time. 

[JohnNichols]

jimdempseyatthecove (Blackbelt) wrote:

Italy numbers may be over inflated.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gXlHXmfDDnc

Jim Dempsey

The Italian data is usually better than most locations, after working there I think it is the countries high fear of corruption, it slows down their economy as they fight it.   It is actually a drag on their economy and leads to unbelievable paperwork.   Sad really. 

[JohnNichols]

[JohnNichols]

The line has bent it appears,  the Normal Probability plot has started to move non-linear so the underlying log-linear model is changing. 

Does not mean we are through it -- but the 2,000,000,000,000 or 5700 per person is a simple price to pay for the bend. 

[JohnNichols]

More than 1900 deaths today -- the Beast is a bastard.  There is some Weiner Process in the variables --  

John