The GPD model suggests that we have a 50% chance of exceeding 70000 tomorrow and a 100% chance by the end of the day after, this is 3 days in advance of the Fortran ODE model estimate. By the middle of the week we will be halfway to the XMAS total of 150000.
As an aside I installed the Windows 10 WDK and it breaks the Intel Fortran link to VS 2019, the error I get is rc.exe not found.
As another aside is the user32 and gdi32 == .lib files or .dll files. These got lost in the install as well - no idea why.